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07/24/2010 - Bad Gastein, Austria (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Timea Bacsinszky of Switzerland beat Austrian crowd favorite Yvonne Meusburger in the semifinals of the Gastein Ladies tennis tournament on Saturday.
The second-seeded Bacsinszky rallied for a 1-6, 6-4, 6-3 victory to advance to Sunday's final, but she'll have to wait a day for her opponent as rain washed out the second scheduled semifinal between France's Alize Cornet and Julia Goerges of Germany.
Cornet and Goerges will play their semifinal on Sunday morning prior to the title match.
Bacsinszky is in position to claim her second career WTA title and first since last year in Luxembourg.
Meusburger still has never won a WTA singles crown and reached her only title match at this event in 2007.
Bacsinszky appeared to be in major trouble from the outset on Saturday, as she dropped each of her four service games in the opening set. She regrouped in the second and won the set after saving a pair of break points while serving at 5-4.
Rain started to fall in the third and Bacsinszky briefly left the court after complaining to the chair umpire about the conditions. She returned soon after and held serve for a 5-3 lead before breaking Meusburger in the following game to win the match.
Bacsinszky improved to 3-1 lifetime against Meusburger, although the Austrian had won this year's lone previous matchup in the first round of the Australian Open.
Cornet and Goerges may each have needed an extra day of rest after both went three sets to win their respective quarterfinal matches on Friday.
The 20-year-old Cornet has just one WTA Tour title, taking the Budapest crown in 2008. She will appear in her second semifinal of 2010, having lost to Iveta Benesova in Morocco this spring.
Goerges, trying for her first WTA crown, also reached the semifinals last week in Palermo. She has never played Cornet.
<< Johnson joins Choi in first at Scandinavian Masters
Stockholm, Sweden (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Sweden's own Richard S. Johnson posted a
two-under 70 on Saturday to join second-round leader K.J. Choi in first place
after the 54 holes of the Scandinavian Masters.
Johnson and Choi, who had a one-u
<< Parra tries to get on track against Nats
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Lefty Manny Parra can end a personal two-start losing
streak while giving Milwaukee a second straight win tonight when the Brewers
host the Washington Nationals in the middle game of a three-game series at
Miller Park.
On
<< Red Sox shoot for third straight win against battling M's
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Boston Red Sox try to make it three straight wins this
evening when they continue their four-game set against the Seattle Mariners at
Safeco Field.
The Red Sox will turn to Jon Lester to keep them in the win column, as
<< Twins send Baker to hill in Baltimore
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Struggling to keep pace with the White Sox and Tigers in
the AL Central, the Twins will try to solve their road woes when Minnesota
battles the Baltimore Orioles in the third installment of a four-game set this
evening at Cam
Yankees activate Mitre; Gardner hospitalized >>
Bronx, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The New York Yankees have activated pitcher
Sergio Mitre off the 15-day disabled list to start Saturday's game against the
Kansas City Royals.
Mitre had been sidelined since early June with a strained
Melzer to face Golubev for Hamburg crown >>
Hamburg, Germany (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jurgen Melzer of Austria and Kazakhstan's
Andrey Golubev will square off for the title at the German Open after both won
semifinal matches on Saturday.
The third-seeded Melzer blitzed Italy's Andreas Se
Montoya grabs pole for Brickyard 400 >>
Indianapolis, IN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Juan Pablo Montoya captured the pole for
the Brickyard 400 after posting the quickest lap in Saturday's qualifying at
Indianapolis Motor Speedway.
Montoya edged defending race winner Jimmie Johnson fo
Langer builds 3-shot lead at Senior British >>
Carnoustie, Scotland (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Bernhard Langer built a three-shot
lead at the Senior British Open on Saturday after carding a two-under 69 in
the third round.
Chasing his first major on the Champions Tour, Langer finished
Underdog bettors love the Super Bowl and, history suggests, the underdogs love them back. And the big dogs bite harder.
Even so, there is a warning in store for Super Bowl gamblers who must love dogs: The Arizona Cardinals Super Bowl betting lines might not be enough of a Cinderella to make it worth your while.
Although the Cardinals were widely panned as one of the worst division winners and least playoff-worthy teams in recent memory, their trip to Super Bowl XLIII Jan. 31 in Tampa against the Pittsburgh Steelers Super Bowl betting lines comes with a little more respect from the oddsmakers than you might imagine. They are a 7-point underdog at most sports books.
If you count yourself among those who covet the big dog in the big game, this isn’t exactly great news. You should have been hoping for more points. This is because the facts show that the bigger the dog, the better the bet in the Super Bowl.
Case in point: Over the past 13 seasons, double-figure underdogs in the Super Bowl are 4-0-1 ATS and have won the past three outright. In fact, the last double-digit chalk to do the deed for bettors was the 1995 San Francisco 49ers, who managed to beat the astounding 19-point spot afforded backers of the San Diego Chargers in the 49-26 romp in Super Bowl XXIX.
By contrast, 7-point favorites are 2-1-1 ATS in the same span, the last such contest resulting a cover grinded out by the Colts in their 29-17 win over the Bears two seasons ago in Super Bowl XLI.
In 2004, the Patriots failed to cover the number in their 32-29 triumph over the Carolina Panthers in Super Bowl props while the Rams and Titans gave everyone a refund in 2000 after the Rams posted a 23-16 win as a seven-point favorite.
So while Arizona’s run has included impressive upsets as a 10-point road underdog to the Carolina Panthers and Sunday’s 32-25 win in the NFC championship game to the 4-point favored Philadelphia Eagles, their long-shot story lacks a bit of the David vs. Goliath storyline of past Super Bowl underdogs.
While the seven-point spread represents a significant gap in the perception of strength between the two teams, it is far from monumental. For example, last season the Giants were the wild-card afterthought turned road-warrior buzzsaw, with stunning wins over the Buccaneers, Cowboys and Packers to earn their place in the Super Bowl.
There, they played spoiler to New England’s bid to become the first 19-0 team in NFL history and cemented their place in sports betting lore with a 17-14 win as a 12.5-point underdog.
In other words, the Cardinals appear to have their work cut out for them as a mid-range underdog. But in homage to the spread beaters who have come before them, here is a brief look back at recent colossal upsets in the Super Bowl:
SB XLII -- 2008 -- New York Giants 17, New England Patriots 14 (Giants +12.5) – Eli Manning’s 13-yard touchdown pass to Plaxico Burress in the final minute clinched the historic upset for the Giants, who used a masterful defensive plan to slow down Tom Brady and the previously undefeated New England Patriots.
XXXVI -- 2002 -- Patriots 20, Rams 17 (Patriots +14) – This was the coming out party for the aforementioned Brady, who went from obscure sixth-round draft pick to Super Bowl hero in one fell swoop. He led the game-winning drive in the final minute – eschewing analyst John Madden’s advice to take a knee and play for overtime – leading to Adam Vinatieri’s memorable 48-yard field goal that split the uprights as time expired.
XXXII 1998 Broncos 31, Packers 24 (Denver +12) – The first of John Elway’s two consecutive Super Bowl titles to put an end to his Hall of Fame career was an upset for the ages. The Broncos used the determination of Elway and a 157-yard, three-touchdown performance from Terrell Davis to turn back Brett Favre and the heavily favored Packers.
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MySportsbook.com: New College Football Clock Rules Examined
Coaches and bettors alike are desperate to make sense of the new time-keeping rules on the NCAA gridiron. One of the big stories to come out of the Ohio State-Texas clash last weekend was Texas coach Mack Brown's criticism of the NCAA's new clock rules that are intended to shorten the duration of college football games, therefore affecting college football betting.
"They scored with six minutes left and the game was over before we had a chance to do anything," Brown told ESPN.com. "I really hope whoever made these changes will go back and look them over."
Sure, it might be sour grapes; the Buckeyes thoroughly trounced the defending national champion Longhorns 24-7. However, Brown isn't alone in giving the changes their due thought. Bettors are also wondering about them, albeit for a completely different reason. Most experts agree that the changes will result in games being shortened by anywhere from 10 to 20 plays. The obvious consequence is lower scores, with more time rolling off the clock during changes of possession. (The Ohio State-Texas game flew well under the total of 52.)
According to research at the online sportsbook MySportsbook.com, more than 18 plays a game disappeared last weekend into thin air. That's a 10-percent reduction. In 2005, a typical game had 168.58 plays. For 2007 already, it's down to 150.26.
As a result, teams combined to gain an average of about 100 fewer yards a game last weekend versus the 2005 openers. Scoring was also down by about 4.5 points (attention Las Vegas sports lines).
Of course, oddsmakers were able to adjust to the changes before the season started. Proof of that came as the over went a balanced 8-9 at My Sportsbook on Saturday.
Other angles to consider:A shorter game should theoretically result in shorter lines. Whereas Team A might have been a 14-point favorite in a 168-play game (last year), if there are 10 percent less snaps in 2007, the line should also be reduced by 10 percent (to 13 or 12.5). Of course, this is an over-simplification of the matter, but something to keep in mind.
Less possessions means a better chance the game will be decided by three or seven points. For example, what might have been a 20-10 final score in 2005 may end at
17-10 in 2007. Granted, a 24-17 game last year might end at 21-17 these days, but the former - a three- or seven-point advantage being preserved as opposed to created - is the most likely scenario.
*UPDATE* - Sept. 25, 2007
New Clock Rules Boon for online bookmakers
By adjusting the time-keeping rules to shorten the duration of college football games, the NCAA hoped to make its product more enjoyable for the fans. While the NCAA's success in this regard is still up for debate, bookmakers couldn't be happier with the results.
"We are seeing a massive jump in college football betting," noted the MySportsbook.com management team. "With all the early Saturday games (12 a.m. ET) ending before the second wave begins (3:30 p.m. ET) - something that didn't always happen before the changes - bettors are now able to re-invest their winnings from the morning session in the afternoon games."
While not all bettors will choose to roll over their winnings, it doesn't take much for an impact to be seen on the bottom line. "Not all of the millions of dollars in morning payouts get re-bet. In fact, it's probably only 10 to 20 percent," noted the sportsbook management team. "Still, the increased football betting lines window will create a ton of growth for us over the course of the season."
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